Choice Hotels Valuation

CHH Stock  USD 109.28  2.75  2.58%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Choice Hotels Intern shows a prevailing Real Value of $92.79 per share. The current price of the firm is $109.28. Our model approximates the value of Choice Hotels Intern from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 7.03 B, profit margin of 0.47 %, and Return On Equity of 0.14 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Choice Hotels' valuation include:
Price Book
33.762
Enterprise Value
B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.907
Price Sales
6.1694
Forward PE
15.528
Overvalued
Today
109.28
Please note that Choice Hotels' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Choice Hotels Intern is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Choice Hotels' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Choice Hotels is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Choice Stock. However, Choice Hotels' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  109.28 Real  92.79 Target  108.0 Hype  109.98
The intrinsic value of Choice Hotels' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Choice Hotels' stock price.
92.79
Real Value
120.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Choice Hotels International helps investors to forecast how Choice stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Choice Hotels more accurately as focusing exclusively on Choice Hotels' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.181.412.07
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.67109.98112.29
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
98.28108.00119.88
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Choice Hotels Intern, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Choice Hotels Cash

43.89 Million

Choice Revenue by Product

Choice Hotels Total Value Analysis

Choice Hotels International is currently forecasted to have company total value of 7.03 B with market capitalization of 5.06 B, debt of 1.89 B, and cash on hands of 40.18 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Choice Hotels fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
7.03 B
5.06 B
1.89 B
40.18 M

Choice Hotels Investor Information

About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.55. Choice Hotels Intern recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 24th of October 2005. Based on the key indicators related to Choice Hotels' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Choice Hotels International is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.320.34
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities385.7 M367.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income560 M533.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Choice Hotels Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Choice Hotels has an asset utilization ratio of 62.63 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.63 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Choice Hotels International is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Choice Hotels Profitability Analysis

Based on Choice Hotels' profitability indicators, Choice Hotels' profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Choice Hotels' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1996-06-30
Previous Quarter
81.7 M
Current Value
180 M
Quarterly Volatility
28.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of now, Choice Hotels' Gross Profit is increasing as compared to previous years. The Choice Hotels' current Pretax Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.31, while Operating Profit Margin is projected to decrease to 0.32.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.540.4696
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.210.22
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.320.34
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.310.29
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.210.14
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Choice Hotels profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Choice Hotels Intern to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Choice Hotels utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Choice Hotels's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Choice Hotels over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Choice Hotels Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Choice Hotels is estimated to be 1.4105 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.181 to a high of 2.0738. Choice Hotels' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 8.11. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Choice Hotels International is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Choice Hotels is projected to generate 1.4105 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Choice Hotels earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Choice Hotels EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Choice Hotels' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Choice Hotels, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Choice Hotels Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Choice Hotels' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Choice Hotels is estimated to be 1.4105 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.181 to a high of 2.0738. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Choice Hotels International is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.18
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.4105
2.07
Highest

Choice Hotels Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Choice Hotels' value are higher than the current market price of the Choice Hotels stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Choice Hotels is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Choice Hotels' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1690.85%
0.0
1.4105
8.11

Choice Hotels Ownership Allocation

Choice Hotels holds a total of 46.27 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Choice Hotels International outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Choice Hotels Intern to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Choice Hotels. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Choice Hotels International as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly six million eight hundred eighty thousand seven hundred thirty-eight invesors are currently shorting Choice Hotels expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Choice Hotels Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.58 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 299.67 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 731.58 M.

Choice Hotels Past Distributions to stockholders

About Choice Hotels Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Choice Stock, attempts to find the value of Choice Hotels Intern based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Choice Hotels's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Choice Hotels's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Choice Hotels. We calculate exposure to Choice Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Choice Hotels's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit855.8 M898.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.29  0.31 
Operating Profit Margin 0.34  0.32 
Net Profit Margin 0.22  0.21 
Gross Profit Margin 0.47  0.54 

Choice Hotels Quarterly Retained Earnings

2.27 Billion

Choice Hotels' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Choice Hotels' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Choice Hotels can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Choice Hotels represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Choice, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Choice Hotels Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of now, Choice Hotels' Dividends Paid is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Choice Hotels' current Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is estimated to increase to 3.14, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01. . As of now, Choice Hotels' Retained Earnings are increasing as compared to previous years. The Choice Hotels' current Retained Earnings Total Equity is estimated to increase to about 1.9 B, while Earnings Yield is projected to decrease to 0.05.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid63.8 M70.9 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.21  0.20 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.82  3.14 
There are various types of dividends Choice Hotels can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Choice shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Choice Hotels International directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Choice pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Choice Hotels by the value of the dividends paid out.

Choice Hotels Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.739
Forward Price Earnings15.528

Choice Hotels Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Choice Hotels International and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Choice we look at many different elements of the entity such as Choice's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Choice Hotels, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Choice Hotels' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Choice Hotels' worth.

Complementary Tools for Choice Stock analysis

When running Choice Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Choice Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Choice Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Choice Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Choice Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Choice Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Choice Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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